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Charlotte vs Temple prediction
Hypothetical matchup, 2026 season
CLT 25% win75% TEM
23Projected
vs
32ProjectedNeutral site
Charlotte 49ers
Record 1–6 · #135 in ratings
Neutral site
Temple Owls
Record 2–5 · #102 in ratings
Home / away venueNeutral site
Normal (50)
Turnover and penalty data arrives with the next daily update, so this starts at normal.
- Power index
- 2 vs 26
- Projected
- TEM favored
- Differential
- 9.7 pts
Team A conference
NeutralSelect team
Team B conference
NeutralSelect team
10,000 simulated games at a neutral site, luck set to normal. These teams aren't scheduled to play this season.
For entertainment purposes only. These are simulated outcomes, not predictions to bet on.
- Projected spread
- Temple by 9.7
- Projected total
- 54.8
- Decided by 8 or fewer
- 36.2%
- Went to overtime
- 3.0%
- Charlotte wins by 21+
- 2.0%
- Temple wins by 21+
- 23.6%
- Median score
- 21–32
- Model expectation
- 22.2–32
Every final margin
Each bar is a 3-point range. Bars on the right are Charlotte wins, bars on the left are Temple wins. Hover a bar for its share of games.
Most common scores
- Temple 27, Charlotte 2058 games
- Temple 27, Charlotte 1756 games
- Temple 27, Charlotte 2451 games
- Temple 34, Charlotte 1749 games
- Temple 30, Charlotte 1747 games
- Temple 37, Charlotte 2046 games
Where the edges are
Charlotte offense vs Temple defenseOffense -7.3Defense -3.7Edge Temple: its defense is 3.5 points better than Charlotte's offense.
Temple offense vs Charlotte defenseOffense -2.3Defense -8.5Edge Temple: its offense is 6.2 points better than Charlotte's defense.
| Stat | Charlotte | Temple | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expected points per play, offense | -0.02 | 0.21 | Higher is better |
| Expected points per play allowed | 0.25 | 0.21 | Lower is better |
| Offensive success rate | 37.8% | 43.4% | Higher is better |
| Success rate allowed | 48.4% | 46.0% | Lower is better |
| Points per game | 19.1 | 25.7 | Raw, not adjusted |
| Points allowed per game | 40.6 | 28.0 | Raw, not adjusted |
How the simulation works
Every team gets an offense and defense rating from this season's scores, adjusted for who they played: scoring 40 against a top defense counts for more than 40 against a weak one. Blowouts count as at most a 35-point win.
Each simulated game gives both teams about 10 possessions. Every possession ends in a touchdown, a field goal or nothing, with odds set by how the offense and defense match up, plus a little game-day randomness. Ties go to overtime.
Running it 10,000 times and counting the wins gives the win probability. Ratings use 2,508 completed games and update every morning.