Loading the matchup…
Georgia Tech vs Stanford prediction
Hypothetical matchup, 2026 season
GT 55% win45% STAN
30Projected
vs
28ProjectedNeutral site
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Record 2–5 · #108 in ratings
Neutral site
Stanford Cardinal
Record 4–4 · #121 in ratings
Home / away venueNeutral site
Normal (50)
Turnover and penalty data arrives with the next daily update, so this starts at normal.
- Power index
- 22 vs 12
- Projected
- GT favored
- Differential
- 2.1 pts
Team A conference
NeutralSelect team
Team B conference
NeutralSelect team
10,000 simulated games at a neutral site, luck set to normal. These teams aren't scheduled to play this season.
For entertainment purposes only. These are simulated outcomes, not predictions to bet on.
- Projected spread
- Georgia Tech by 2.1
- Projected total
- 57.4
- Decided by 8 or fewer
- 43.4%
- Went to overtime
- 3.8%
- Georgia Tech wins by 21+
- 11.2%
- Stanford wins by 21+
- 6.6%
- Median score
- 30–27
- Model expectation
- 29.4–27.5
Every final margin
Each bar is a 3-point range. Bars on the right are Georgia Tech wins, bars on the left are Stanford wins. Hover a bar for its share of games.
Most common scores
- Georgia Tech 30, Stanford 2755 games
- Georgia Tech 27, Stanford 2353 games
- Georgia Tech 27, Stanford 2052 games
- Georgia Tech 27, Stanford 2446 games
- Stanford 27, Georgia Tech 2446 games
- Stanford 27, Georgia Tech 2345 games
Where the edges are
Georgia Tech offense vs Stanford defenseOffense -0.2Defense -3.9Edge Georgia Tech: its offense is 3.7 points better than Stanford's defense.
Stanford offense vs Georgia Tech defenseOffense -4.8Defense -6.5Edge Stanford: its offense is 1.7 points better than Georgia Tech's defense.
| Stat | Georgia Tech | Stanford | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expected points per play, offense | 0.16 | 0.18 | Higher is better |
| Expected points per play allowed | 0.24 | 0.31 | Lower is better |
| Offensive success rate | 44.7% | 40.1% | Higher is better |
| Success rate allowed | 44.3% | 47.0% | Lower is better |
| Points per game | 26.7 | 19.9 | Raw, not adjusted |
| Points allowed per game | 30.3 | 35.5 | Raw, not adjusted |
How the simulation works
Every team gets an offense and defense rating from this season's scores, adjusted for who they played: scoring 40 against a top defense counts for more than 40 against a weak one. Blowouts count as at most a 35-point win.
Each simulated game gives both teams about 10 possessions. Every possession ends in a touchdown, a field goal or nothing, with odds set by how the offense and defense match up, plus a little game-day randomness. Ties go to overtime.
Running it 10,000 times and counting the wins gives the win probability. Ratings use 2,508 completed games and update every morning.