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Georgia Tech vs Virginia Tech prediction
Hypothetical matchup, 2026 season
GT 27% win73% VT
25Projected
vs
35ProjectedNeutral site
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets
Record 2–5 · #108 in ratings
Neutral site
Virginia Tech Hokies
Record 6–2 · #53 in ratings
Home / away venueNeutral site
Normal (50)
Turnover and penalty data arrives with the next daily update, so this starts at normal.
- Power index
- 22 vs 62
- Projected
- VT favored
- Differential
- 9.4 pts
Team A conference
NeutralSelect team
Team B conference
NeutralSelect team
10,000 simulated games at a neutral site, luck set to normal. These teams aren't scheduled to play this season.
For entertainment purposes only. These are simulated outcomes, not predictions to bet on.
- Projected spread
- Virginia Tech by 9.4
- Projected total
- 59.6
- Decided by 8 or fewer
- 35.5%
- Went to overtime
- 2.9%
- Georgia Tech wins by 21+
- 2.9%
- Virginia Tech wins by 21+
- 23.5%
- Median score
- 24–34
- Model expectation
- 24.8–34.2
Every final margin
Each bar is a 3-point range. Bars on the right are Georgia Tech wins, bars on the left are Virginia Tech wins. Hover a bar for its share of games.
Most common scores
- Virginia Tech 34, Georgia Tech 2756 games
- Virginia Tech 37, Georgia Tech 2749 games
- Virginia Tech 37, Georgia Tech 2047 games
- Virginia Tech 34, Georgia Tech 2046 games
- Virginia Tech 30, Georgia Tech 2046 games
- Virginia Tech 30, Georgia Tech 2444 games
Where the edges are
Georgia Tech offense vs Virginia Tech defenseOffense -0.2Defense +0.8Edge Virginia Tech: its defense is 1.0 points better than Georgia Tech's offense.
Virginia Tech offense vs Georgia Tech defenseOffense +2.0Defense -6.5Edge Virginia Tech: its offense is 8.5 points better than Georgia Tech's defense.
| Stat | Georgia Tech | Virginia Tech | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Expected points per play, offense | 0.16 | 0.19 | Higher is better |
| Expected points per play allowed | 0.24 | 0.07 | Lower is better |
| Offensive success rate | 44.7% | 44.5% | Higher is better |
| Success rate allowed | 44.3% | 38.6% | Lower is better |
| Points per game | 26.7 | 35.0 | Raw, not adjusted |
| Points allowed per game | 30.3 | 20.5 | Raw, not adjusted |
How the simulation works
Every team gets an offense and defense rating from this season's scores, adjusted for who they played: scoring 40 against a top defense counts for more than 40 against a weak one. Blowouts count as at most a 35-point win.
Each simulated game gives both teams about 10 possessions. Every possession ends in a touchdown, a field goal or nothing, with odds set by how the offense and defense match up, plus a little game-day randomness. Ties go to overtime.
Running it 10,000 times and counting the wins gives the win probability. Ratings use 2,508 completed games and update every morning.